Governor · 2026

Alabama

Doug Jones (D) vs. Tommy Tuberville (R) · Incumbent: open (R)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	R+10.0	2026-11-01	Pending

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
Chism Strategies	Chism Strategies (reported by AL.com)	Oct 22-24	695 LV	R+3	Pending
Cygnal	Alabama Daily News / Gray Media Alabama	Oct 16-17	500 LV	R+11	Pending
The Alabama Poll	The Alabama Poll (reported by AL.com)	Oct 15-16	600 LV	R+12	Pending
RMG Research	Alabama Policy Action	Sep 21-25	800 RV	R+13	Pending
yes. every kid.	yes. every kid. Foundation	Jul 8-11	601 LV	R+8	Pending

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	R 92% to win (Likely R)	2026-10-30
PollCheck	Tuberville (R) 96% to win; Safe R	2026-11-01

Included as competitive by poll criterion only: Chism Strategies (Oct 22-24) R+3. All three major raters Solid/Safe R. Kay Ivey term-limited.