Governor · 2026

California

Xavier Becerra (D) vs. Steve Hilton (R) · Incumbent: open (D)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+21.5	2026-10-30	Pending

No recent public polls found.

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 97% to win (Safe D)	2026-10-30

Gavin Newsom term-limited. Recent: Berkeley IGS/LA Times Oct 19-25 D+27 (1,477 LV); SurveyUSA/KGTV-San Diego Union-Tribune Oct 19-24 D+22 (799 LV).