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Midterms 2026
Governor · 2026

Georgia

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) vs. Rick Jackson (R) · Incumbent: open (R)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026
Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

AverageMarginAs ofMiss
PollCheckR+0.62026-10-31Pending
RealClearPoliticsR+0.72026-09-23Pending
Decision Desk HQR+1.32026-09-27Pending
Silver BulletinR+0.52026-09-27Pending
FiftyPlusOneD+2.52026-09-27Pending
270toWinR+2.02026-09-27Pending
Race to the WHR+1.22026-09-27Pending

Latest polls

PollsterForFieldedSampleMarginMiss
State NavigateState NavigateOct 23-27679 LVD+3Pending
Echelon InsightsNetChoiceOct 16-23508 LVD+1Pending
ActiVoteActiVoteOct 6-20400 LVR+3Pending
Quantus InsightsQuantus InsightsOct 15-17755 LVR+1Pending
University of GeorgiaThe Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionOct 7-151,000 LVR+1Pending
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantageOct 12-13800 LVR+2Pending

Forecasts and odds

ForecasterForecastAs of
Decision Desk HQToss Up; favored side 60% (page text does not identify the party)2026-10-30
PollCheckJackson (R) 62% to win; 'Toss-up - runoff likely'2026-10-31
Silver BulletinLikely D (flip)2026-09-19

Race ratings

RaterRatingAs of
Cook Political ReportToss-up2026-09-17
Inside ElectionsToss-up2026-09-17
Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up2025-09-04
Decision Desk HQToss Up2026-10-30

Georgia requires a majority; runoff Dec 1, 2026 if no one exceeds 50%. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) referenced on Wikipedia; ballot status not confirmed. Wikipedia lists Sabato's Toss-up with an 'as of' date of Sep 4, 2025 (recorded as shown). Wikipedia aggregate values were last updated late September.

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