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Midterms 2026
Governor · 2026

Hawaii

Josh Green (D) vs. Gary Cordery (R) · Incumbent: D

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026
Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

None published.

Latest polls

No recent public polls found.

Forecasts and odds

ForecasterForecastAs of
Decision Desk HQD 99% to win (Safe D)2026-10-30

Race ratings

RaterRatingAs of
Cook Political ReportSolid D2026-08-27
Inside ElectionsSolid D2026-09-04
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D2026-09-03
Decision Desk HQSafe D2026-10-30

PollCheck shows only a swing estimate (D+32.1). R nominee per Wikipedia overview table.

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