Governor · 2026

Maine

Hannah Pingree (D) vs. Rick Bennett (I) vs. Robert (Bobby) Charles (R) · Incumbent: open (D)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+10.2	2026-10-31	Pending

Latest polls

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
SSRS	CNN	Oct 20-26	783 LV	D+14	Pending
Marist University	Marist	Oct 22-25	1,449 RV	D+11	Pending
Echelon Insights	NetChoice	Oct 16-23	413 LV	D+13	Pending
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Co. (R)	Fox News	Oct 16-20	1,514 LV	D+10	Pending
Suffolk University	Suffolk University	Oct 8-11	500 LV	D+11	Pending

Forecasts and odds

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 85% to win (Likely D)	2026-10-30
PollCheck	Pingree (D) 97% to win; Safe D	2026-10-31

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid D	2026-08-27
Inside Elections	Likely D	2026-09-04
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely D	2026-09-03
Decision Desk HQ	Likely D	2026-10-30

Included as competitive only because PollCheck lists a Marist Oct 22-25 LV result of Pingree 44 / Charles 44 (Tie); same survey's RV version is D+11, so the LV tie may be a PollCheck transcription issue — VERIFY against the Marist PDF. Maine uses ranked-choice voting for primaries only, not gubernatorial generals. Data for Progress Oct 23-27 row on PollCheck was incomplete (omitted).