Governor · 2026

Michigan

Jocelyn Benson (D) vs. John James (R) · Incumbent: open (D)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+7.2	2026-10-30	Pending

Latest polls

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
Rasmussen Reports	Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28-29	745 LV	D+10	Pending
SSRS	CNN	Oct 20-27	768 LV	D+12	Pending
Mitchell Research & Communications	CBS Detroit	Oct 26-27	636 LV	D+5	Pending
Michigan State University / Verasight	Michigan State University	Oct 8-23	1,383 LV	D+9	Pending
Glengariff Group	The Detroit News / WDIV-TV	Oct 19-22	600 LV	D+6	Pending
Marist University	Marist	Oct 15-18	LV (n not listed)	D+6	Pending

Forecasts and odds

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 78% to win (Likely D)	2026-10-30
PollCheck	Benson (D) 89% to win; Likely D	2026-10-30

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Lean D	2026-08-27
Inside Elections	Tilt D	2026-09-04
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean D	2026-09-03
Decision Desk HQ	Likely D	2026-10-30

Mike Duggan (I) suspended campaign May 2026. Anthony Hudson (Libertarian) on ballot. Cook/Inside/Sabato ratings are from Wikipedia overview table (Aug 27 / Sep 4 / Sep 3); later changes, if any, not verified. Wikipedia per-state page appeared stale (pre-primary).