Governor · 2026

Minnesota

Amy Klobuchar (D) vs. Lisa Demuth (R) · Incumbent: open (D)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+11.1	2026-10-30	Pending

Latest polls

No recent public polls found.

Forecasts and odds

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 91% to win (Likely D)	2026-10-30

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid D	2026-08-27
Inside Elections	Likely D	2026-09-04
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D	2026-09-03
Decision Desk HQ	Likely D	2026-10-30

Tim Walz withdrew (Jan 2026). Not marked competitive: most recent polls D+7 to D+18 (KSTP/SurveyUSA Oct 24-28 D+12; NYT/Siena Oct 19-26 D+18; Victory Insights for GOP Senate nominee Michele Tafoya Oct 21-22 D+7). Last poll within 6 was co/efficient Sep 14-15 (D+2, 833 LV).