The Propaganda FilesNebraska
Lynne Walz (D) vs. Jim Pillen (R) · Incumbent: R
Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026
Result: pending
Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.
Polling averages
| Average | Margin | As of | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| PollCheck | R+5.8 | 2026-11-01 | Pending |
Latest polls
| Pollster | For | Fielded | Sample | Margin | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena | The New York Times | Oct 23-29 | 809 LV | R+13 | Pending |
| Echelon Insights | NetChoice | Oct 16-23 | 407 LV | R+7 | Pending |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners | Education Reform Now Advocacy | Oct 15-18 | 500 LV | D+3 | Pending |
| National Public Affairs | National Public Affairs | Oct 15-18 | 598 LV | R+6 | Pending |
| Global Strategy Group | Lynne Walz campaign | Oct 13-18 | 800 LV | R+1 | Pending |
| Public Policy Polling | Lynne Walz campaign (reported by Lincoln Journal Star) | Oct 13-14 | 571 RV | R+2 | Pending |
Forecasts and odds
| Forecaster | Forecast | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ | R 79% to win (Likely R) | 2026-10-30 |
| PollCheck | Pillen (R) 91% to win; Likely R | 2026-11-01 |
Race ratings
| Rater | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | 2026-08-27 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | 2026-09-04 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | 2026-09-29 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Likely R | 2026-10-30 |