Governor · 2026

Oregon

Tina Kotek (D) vs. Christine Drazan (R) · Incumbent: D

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+1.2	2026-10-31	Pending

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
GBAO (D)	Kotek campaign	Oct 1-4	800 LV	D+4	Pending
DHM Research	The Oregonian	Sep 24-Oct 1	549 LV	D+2	Pending
DHM Research	Oregon Public Broadcasting	Sep 17-27	915 LV	R+1	Pending
DHM Research	Grow Oregon	Sep 3-9	600 LV	R+2	Pending
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	Drazan campaign	Jun 22-24	600 RV	R+4	Pending

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 81% to win (Likely D)	2026-10-30
PollCheck	Kotek (D) 51% to win; Toss-up	2026-10-31

Brett Smith (Green) also on ballot. Sabato moved Likely D -> Lean D on Oct 6 (270toWin note). No public polls after Oct 4 found on PollCheck.