Governor · 2026

Rhode Island

Helena Foulkes (D) vs. Ken Block (I) vs. Aaron Guckian (R) · Incumbent: open (D)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+12.7 (Foulkes over Block, the second-place candidate)	2026-10-30	Pending

Latest polls

No recent public polls found.

Forecasts and odds

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
Decision Desk HQ	D 96% to win (Safe D)	2026-10-30

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid D	2026-08-27
Inside Elections	Solid D	2026-09-04
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D	2026-09-03
Decision Desk HQ	Safe D	2026-10-30

Incumbent Dan McKee (D) lost renomination. Two leading candidates in polls are Foulkes (D) and Block (I): Emerson/WPRI Oct 8-11 Foulkes 44, Block 35, Guckian 10 (800 LV); Embold/Pell Center Oct 5-8 Foulkes 39, Block 28, Guckian 17 (815 LV). An alternate version of a Block-campaign poll (Opinion Diagnostics, Sep 23-25) showed Block 44, Foulkes 39 but PollCheck excludes it from the average.