Senate · 2026

Georgia

Jon Ossoff (D) vs. Mike Collins (R) · Incumbent: D

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
270toWin	D+8.4	2026-10-31	Pending
RealClearPolitics	D+7.5	2026-09-23	Pending
Silver Bulletin	D+8.2	2026-09-23	Pending
Decision Desk HQ	D+7.2	2026-09-23	Pending

Latest polls

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
ActiVote	not stated	ended Oct 20	400 LV	D+8	Pending
Quantus Insights	not stated	ended Oct 19	755 LV	D+8	Pending
Trafalgar Group	not stated	ended Oct 10	1,101 LV	D+8	Pending
InsiderAdvantage	not stated	ended Sep 25	1,200 LV	D+8	Pending
YouGov	not stated	ended Sep 23	3,303 LV	D+10	Pending
Quantus Insights	not stated	ended Sep 18	645 LV	D+4	Pending

Forecasts and odds

None recorded.

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Likely D	2026-09-23
Inside Elections	Tilt D	2026-09-17
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely D	2026-09-22

Included as competitive because Inside Elections rated it Tilt D (Sep 17). Collins won June 16 GOP runoff over Derek Dooley. A Cook print page fetched showed GA under Lean D but its update date was unclear (page showed 'Aug 20, 2026'); Wikipedia's table lists Cook Likely D as of Sep 23. No current prediction-market price for GA was captured.