Senate · 2026

Louisiana

Jamie Davis (D) vs. Julia Letlow (R) · Incumbent: open (R)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
PollCheck	D+0.5	2026-10-31	Pending

Latest polls

No recent public polls found.

Forecasts and odds

Forecaster	Forecast	As of
PollCheck (pollcheck.co.uk)	Letlow 52% to win (rated Toss-up)	2026-10-31

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid R	2026-09-23
Inside Elections	Solid R	2026-09-17
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R	2026-09-22

Bill Cassidy lost renomination. Cook/IE/Sabato rated Solid/Safe R (Sep), but PollCheck rated it Toss-up (Letlow 52%) with average Davis 45.1%, Letlow 44.6% (updated 31 Oct; its table displayed 'Letlow +0.5'). Not verified with individual polls.