Senate · 2026

North Carolina

Roy Cooper (D) vs. Michael Whatley (R) · Incumbent: open (R)

Recorded before the vote · November 1, 2026

Result: pending

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov 3. The actual margin will be posted here beside every prediction, with how far each one missed and in which direction.

Polling averages

Average	Margin	As of	Miss
270toWin	D+11.6	2026-10-31	Pending
RealClearPolitics	D+8.4	2026-09-22	Pending
Silver Bulletin	D+9.0	2026-09-22	Pending

Latest polls

Pollster	For	Fielded	Sample	Margin	Miss
High Point University	High Point University	ended Oct 28	620 LV	D+14	Pending
Quantus Insights	not stated	ended Oct 26	722 LV	D+9	Pending
Harper Polling	Carolina Journal (linked outlet)	ended Oct 22	600 LV	D+10	Pending
ActiVote	not stated	ended Oct 20	400 LV	D+14	Pending
YouGov	Elon University (linked release)	ended Oct 20	560 LV	D+11	Pending
Change Research	not identified	ended Oct 13	829 LV	D+10	Pending

Forecasts and odds

None recorded.

Race ratings

Rater	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Lean D (flip)	2026-09-23
Inside Elections	Tilt D (flip)	2026-09-17
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean D (flip)	2026-09-22

Open seat (Thom Tillis retiring). Also on ballot: Shannon Bray (Libertarian), Michael Dublin (Green). No current prediction-market price for NC was captured.