Bad Call

Barone, Will and Morris Forecast a Romney Electoral Landslide

Prominent conservative analysts predicted Romney would win comfortably: Michael Barone 315 electoral votes, George Will 321 (including Minnesota), Dick Morris 325.

First reported Nov 2, 2012 · Washington Examiner, ABC News (This Week), Fox News (Dick Morris)

Screenshot of the original report as published — Screenshot of the report as published: washingtonexaminer.com. Tap to open the source.

Who it helped: Republicans

The landslide forecasts told conservative audiences that polls showing Obama ahead were wrong.

What was reported

Prominent conservative analysts predicted Romney would win comfortably: Michael Barone 315 electoral votes, George Will 321 (including Minnesota), Dick Morris 325.

What actually happened

Barone's column in the Washington Examiner, Will's call on ABC's This Week, and Morris's forecast as a Fox News contributor all ran in the final days of the campaign. Obama won 332 to 206, and Romney lost Minnesota. Barone publicly wrote that he was wrong.

The proof

Certified 2012 results; Barone's Nov. 7 Washington Examiner column acknowledging the miss.

The receipt. Copy this and paste it anywhere:

Barone, Will and Morris Forecast a Romney Electoral Landslide — Bad Call. Certified 2012 results; Barone's Nov. 7 Washington Examiner column acknowledging the miss. Full file: https://www.thepropagandafiles.com/case/romney-landslide-pundit-predictions-2012/

Original reporting

Washington Examiner: Barone — Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handilyhttps://www.washingtonexaminer.com/?p=226817
Outside the Beltway (secondary): Will predicts EC landslide for Romney on This Weekhttps://outsidethebeltway.com/will-predicts-ec-landslide-for-romney/

Corrections, findings & records

Washington Examiner: Barone — I was wrong, where it countedhttps://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/beltway-confidential/2413014/barone-i-was-wrong-where-it-counted/
Foreign Policy: Worst predictions, election editionhttps://foreignpolicy.com/2012/11/07/worst-predictions-election-edition/
Media Matters: Dick Morris' terrible 2012https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/dick-morris-terrible-2012

Archived copies

Stories get edited after publication. These open the Internet Archive's earliest saved copy of each original.

Archived copy: Washington Examiner: Barone — Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handilyhttps://web.archive.org/web/2/https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/?p=226817
Archived copy: Outside the Beltway (secondary): Will predicts EC landslide for Romney on This Weekhttps://web.archive.org/web/2/https://outsidethebeltway.com/will-predicts-ec-landslide-for-romney/