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The Big Lies › 2012 › File PF-0019
Bad Call

Gallup's Final 2012 Poll: Romney 49, Obama 48

Gallup's final national pre-election survey showed Romney narrowly ahead of Obama, after weeks of tracking that had Romney leading among likely voters.

First reported Nov 5, 2012 · Gallup, USA Today (Gallup polling partner)
Screenshot of the original report as published
Screenshot of the report as published: huffingtonpost.com (archived copy, Wayback Machine). Tap to open the source.
Who it helped: Republicans

The country's best-known poll lent credibility to claims that Romney was winning.

What was reported

Gallup's final national pre-election survey showed Romney narrowly ahead of Obama, after weeks of tracking that had Romney leading among likely voters.

What actually happened

Obama won the popular vote by nearly four points. Gallup launched a comprehensive review with outside methodologist Michael Traugott, published its findings in June 2013, and overhauled its polling methods.

The proof

Gallup's own 2012 Presidential Election Polling Review (June 2013) documented the error's causes.

The receipt. Copy this and paste it anywhere:

Gallup's Final 2012 Poll: Romney 49, Obama 48 — Bad Call. Gallup's own 2012 Presidential Election Polling Review (June 2013) documented the error's causes. Full file: https://www.thepropagandafiles.com/case/gallup-final-2012-poll-romney-lead/

Original reporting

Corrections, findings & records

Archived copies

Stories get edited after publication. These open the Internet Archive's earliest saved copy of each original.

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